Ohio State (-18.5) vs. Penn State – Have you watched an Ohio State game this season? They can name their number for margin of victory and that number is never less than three touchdowns.
Minnesota (-14) at Northwestern – I feel a bit cheated by Minnesota’s missed extra point last week but still like both sides of this. Minnesota is a strong team and I don’t pass up opportunities to fade Northwestern.
Tulane (+6) vs. UCF – Tulane has fared well at home this season and has the ability to score a lot of points. UCF has been trending in the opposite direction and may lose this one outright.
Air Force (-22.5) at New Mexico – Air Force will put up some points especially against a New Mexico team on a seven (soon to be eight) game skid.
San Jose State (-7) at UNLV – San Jose State has had three consecutive well-fought games with the last two being narrow losses to Hawaii and Boise State. They would earn bowl eligibility with two wins to close out the season and UNLV will not get in their way this week.
Temple (+10.5) at Cincinnati – If you look at Cincinnati in November, they barely escaped both USF and ECU by three points each. This game feels like it will follow a similar script.
Wake Forest (-7) vs. Duke – Wake Forest can and will score points (unless they’re playing Clemson). Duke is not Clemson. Duke has averaged just 11 points per game in their last four outings. Even if they double that total, Wake will cover the 7 points.
Hawaii (-3) vs. San Diego State – Games in Hawaii this season have all surpassed 50 total points (a couple over 80!) whereas San Diego State tends to be lower scoring. I’m taking the Rainbow Warriors here because I do not believe the Aztecs will keep pace.
TEASE OF THE WEEK!
Ohio State (-12.5) & Air Force (-16.5) – I expect both of these teams to put up a lot of points. Tease both spreads across a couple key numbers and enjoy.